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Oil prices steady amid strong dollar, China economy worries

Oil prices steady amid strong dollar, China economy worries

20 tháng 7 2024・ 06:09

LONDON, July 19 (Reuters) - Oil prices were little changed on Friday as a strong dollar and concern over top oil importer China's economy were countered by a tighter supply outlook.

Giá dầu ổn định trong bối cảnh đồng USD mạnh

Brent crude prices fell by 8 cents, or 0.1%, to $85.03 a barrel by 0938 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 17 cents, or 0.2%, to $82.65 a barrel.

The U.S. dollar index climbed for the second consecutive session after stronger-than-expected data on the U.S. labour market and manufacturing earlier in the week. A stronger greenback dampens demand for dollar-denominated oil from buyers holding other currencies.

A lack of concrete stimulus measures from top oil importer China has also weighed on commodities overall, ANZ analysts said in a note.

Meanwhile, Chinese officials acknowledged on Friday the sweeping list of economic goals re-emphasised at the end of a key Communist Party meeting this week contained "many complex contradictions", pointing to a bumpy road ahead for policy implementation in the world's second largest economy.

China's economy grew by a slower-than-expected 4.7% in the second quarter, official data showed, sparking concerns about the country's oil demand.

Traders in oil, gas, power, stocks, currencies and bonds from London to Singapore struggled to operate on Friday as a global cyber outage hampered operations, companies, banks and trading sources said.

Meanwhile, two large oil tankers were on fire on Friday after colliding in waters near Singapore, the world's biggest refuelling port, with two crew members airlifted to hospital and others rescued from life rafts, authorities and one of the companies said.

Oil prices found some support in the prior two sessions after the U.S. government reported a bigger-than-expected weekly decline in oil stockpiles.

The OPEC+ producer group is unlikely to recommend changing the group's output policy, including a plan to start unwinding one layer of oil output cuts from October, three sources told Reuters on Thursday.

"We think Q3 balances are set to tighten, due to continued OPEC restraint and seasonal demand increases, before weakening in Q4 on additional supplies from OPEC+ and the U.S.," BNP Paribas analyst Aldo Spanjer wrote in a research note.

Canadian crude exports from US Gulf Coast fall only slightly despite TMX startup

Giá dầu ổn định trong bối cảnh đồng USD mạnh

HOUSTON, July 19 (Reuters) - About 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) of Canadian crude were exported from the U.S. Gulf Coast in June, slightly lower than average, despite the expansion of the Trans Mountain pipeline (TMX), which pulled some barrels west to Vancouver, shipping tracking data showed.

The $24.84 billion (C$34 billion) expansion started operations in May, adding 590,000 bpd of capacity for crude deliveries to Canada's Pacific Coast, where it can be loaded onto tankers, giving Canadian producers more access to U.S. West Coast and Asian markets.

TMX has the potential to impact global oil flows and freight rates - if more oil from Canada's West Coast heads to Asia, it could cut shipments from the U.S. Gulf Coast to India, China and South Korea. TMX could also displace shipments of some Latin American grades to Asian countries, which would then have to hunt for a new market.

Two supertankers and two smaller vessels loaded Canada's Access Western Blend and Cold Lake crude grades from the U.S. Gulf Coast in June for delivery to refineries in India, China, Spain and Peru, data from ship tracking services Kpler and Vortexa showed.

The 150,000-bpd exported in June compared with monthly average volumes of about 170,000 bpd in the last 12 months, according to data from Vortexa.

The ease of loading very large crude carriers (VLCCs), which can carry up to 2 million barrels of oil, at the Gulf Coast has helped maintain high levels of Canadian exports from the U.S. Gulf Coast, said Vortexa analyst Rohit Rathod.

In comparison, Aframaxes that typically transport up to 800,000 barrels are limited to loading only about 550,000 barrels at Vancouver because of port draft restrictions.

Those vessels have to sail to California to transfer the crude to a VLCC before traveling to Asia, whereas U.S. Gulf Coast VLCC loadings often occur just off Galveston.

Reliance Industries (RELI.NS), opens new tab, for example, shipped 2 million barrels of Canadian crude in May from Vancouver to its refinery in Jamnagar, India. The following month, the Indian refiner loaded a supertanker off the coast of Texas for August delivery to India.

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Westbound volumes of Canadian crude on the Trans Mountain system have already ramped up by more than 300,000 bpd since TMX deliveries began in late May, energy data provider Wood Mackenzie said.

However, pipeline monitoring showed that utilization on Enbridge's (ENB.TO), opens new tab competing Mainline remained largely unchanged from pre-TMX levels through June and early July, buoyed by draining storage inventories in Western Canada, Wood Mackenzie analyst Dylan White said. The Mainline pipe moves crude from Canada's Alberta to the U.S. Midwest.

July has already seen two loadings of 500,000 barrels of Cold Lake Blend from the U.S. Gulf Coast, according to Kpler's ship tracking data. However, weak Chinese demand may hinder those flows, analysts noted.

reuters

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